Matt
Richmond
The Oscar Calendar
Quantifying the blatant release-month bias in prestige cinema and the strategic 'Q4 Cluster'.
"If you want an Oscar, release in December. The awards season isn't just a time of year; it's a precision-engineered mechanism that dictates the industry's pulse."
Temporal
Bias
"Time in Hollywood is not linear; it is cyclical and heavily weighted. My calibration detects a massive gravitational pull in the final fiscal quarter."
Over **74% of Academy Award winners** since 2010 were released between October and December. This compression is a calculated strategy to maximize "recency bias" among voting bodies.
The visual gap appearing in January and February represents "The Dump"—a period where studios release projects with lower commercial or critical confidence.
Prestige Cycle Initiation
Maximum Award Probability
Minimum Signal Detection
Indexed against: film_awards
Precision: 99.2%