Matt
Richmond

Developer | Grip | Photographer

Matt Richmond
RETURN ON INVESTMENT /// RETURN ON INVESTMENT /// RETURN ON INVESTMENT ///
Market Analysis

THE CASINO

"If you want to become a billionaire, don't write an Action movie. Write a Horror script."

Top PerformerHORROR
Worst MarginACTION

ROI_BY_GENRE.XLSX

● OUTLIER█ QUARTILESI WHISKERS
Calculating Margins...
* Y-Axis Log Scale (Projected) / Capped for visual clarity

The Horror Anomaly

In terms of pure financial efficiency, Horror stands alone. The median return consistently outperforms every other genre. This is the "Blumhouse Model": keep budgets under $5M, rely on high concepts rather than stars, and market to a dedicated niche.

The Action Trap

Action and Adventure films gross the highest dollars but have the thinnest margins. A $250M blockbuster needs $600M just to break even. It's high volume, low yield—a dangerous game where one flop can bankrupt a studio.

Data SourceTMDB V11
Date Range2000-2024
Min Budget$500k
AnalysisTukey Boxplot
Audit Methodology & Risk Assessment

ROI Calculation

Return on Investment is calculated as `(Revenue - Budget) / Budget`. This "Pure ROI" metric isolates content efficiency from marketing spend (typically 50-100% of production budget).

Outlier Detection

Statistical anomalies ("Black Swans") detected using Tukey's Fences (`Q3 + 1.5 * IQR`). These outliers (e.g., *Paranormal Activity*) are visually distinct from the standard distribution boxes.

Sample Eligibility

Commercial releases with Budget > $500k and Revenue > $0. Co-productions are attributed to primary genre tags designated by TMDB.

Compliance

Data sourced from TMDB Movie Dataset v11.
Last Audit: 2024.